Could Texas REALLY Go Blue?

For over a decade, Democrats have dreamed of flipping Texas. This year, James Talarico's economy-focused campaign faces Ken Paxton, a Republican beleaguered by corruption scandals and abandoned by his own party establishment. Polls show Talarico slightly ahead, but Texas surveys have historically underestimated Republicans. The midterm outcome remains genuinely uncertain. Sources https://www.wabe.org/paxton-dominates-cornyn-in-texas-us-senate-runoff-the-latest-sign-of-trumps-hold-on-gop/ https://www.kut.org/politics/2026-03-03/james-talarico-holds-slim-lead-against-jasmine-crockett-in-democratic-primary-for-u-s-senate https://www.texastribune.org/2026/08/05/texas-senate-james-talarico-economic-agenda-ken-paxton/ https://www.texastribune.org/2025/09/05/james-talarico-texas-senate-democrat-2026/ https://www.texastribune.org/2026/03/12/james-talarico-texas-senate-republicans-attacks-god-is-nonbinary/ https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/five-takeaways-from-james-talaricos-cnn-town-hall-with-texas-voters-971ae916?mod=hp_lead_pos5 https://podcasts.happyscribe.com/the-jamie-kern-lima-show/james-talarico-reveals-all-pt-2-fighting-to-flip-tables-take-texas-christianity-the-country-back https://podscripts.co/podcasts/the-bulwark-podcast/james-talarico-the-bulwark-live-from-dallas https://www.tpr.org/government-politics/2026-10-15/talarico-says-he-doesnt-support-abolishing-ice-but-criticizes-their-work-under-trump-as-secret-police https://www.foxnews.com/politics/watch-talarico-embraces-freaky-identity-crowds-chant-name-meant-insult-weird https://www.texastribune.org/2024/03/26/ken-paxton-plea-deal-securities-fraud-felony/ https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/suspended-texas-g-ken-paxton-wont-testify-impeachment-trial-lawyer-say-rcna92633 https://www.mediaite.com/media/news/crooked-ken-paxton-cheated-on-his-wife-scathing-new-ad-goes-there-in-effort-to-stop-fraud-from-sinking-texas-gop/ https://www.fox4news.com/news/cornyn-campaign-targets-paxton-ai-generated-love-shack-parody-ad https://www.fox4news.com/news/cornyn-campaign-targets-paxton-ai-generated-love-shack-parody-ad https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/11/supreme-court-rejects-texas-lawsuit-challenging-bidens-election-wins-in-4-key-states.html https://www.texastribune.org/2026/10/08/texas-senate-james-talarico-flu-ken-paxton-debate-trump/ https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2026/texas/talarico-vs-paxton https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/blog/texas-2026-u-s-senate-poll-tracker https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/blog/latest-ut-texas-politics-poll-finds-historic-levels-of-competition-in-texas-midterm-elections https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-cost-living-concerns-weigh-gop-midterms https://www.texastribune.org/2026/10/15/texas-trump-cornyn-rove-truth-social-paxton/